| Ticker | Company / Sector | Price | Buy Zone | Mean Target | Fwd P/E '26 · '27 | Rec. | Earnings | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD Top 5 Bullish, Portfolio 1 | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Information Technology |
$486.25 10:56 AM 08/03/26 |
$447.35 – $474.71 | $558.48 med — · n=51 |
63.83 · '27 43.85 vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↑ +113% |
Buy | Aug 04, 2026 — Estimated (tomorrow) | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $365 35% probability Aug 4 earnings (tomorrow) miss or soft data-center/MI350 guidance after a +226% run off the 52-wk low triggers sharp de-rating. Base $558 30% probability Q2 results and guidance land roughly in line with the Strong Buy consensus; MI350/MI400 AI GPU ramp continues on plan. Bull $642 35% probability Beat-and-raise on datacenter GPU demand reinforces the AI-accelerator share-gain thesis vs. NVDA; guidance raised. ConsensusSA Authors19 Authors in the Last 30 Days 38422 Wall Street51 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 3651000 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $558.48 Median: — Range: $235 – $1,250 n=51 · spread 8.4% StockAnalysis.com $576.55 n=51 MarketBeat $529.46 n=44 TipRanks $569.44 n=46 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksBase-case upside to mean target is 14.86% — Buy tier (10-20% band), not Strong Buy, even though WS score (4.50) clears the 4.5 threshold, because upside doesn't clear the >20% bar required for Strong Buy. Earnings land TOMORROW (Aug 4) — the methodology's explicit caution override ('earnings within 14 days AND high implied volatility') applies directly here (beta 1.96, stock up 226% off 52wk low), so probabilities widened to 35/30/35 rather than a calmer default. Target spread across sources is a manageable 8.4% — no major disagreement flag needed, though the TipRanks figure ($569.44) traces to a search-engine-cached article that may reflect a slightly stale reference price; treated as directionally consistent with the other two sources rather than a fresh independent pull.
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| AVGO Portfolio 1 | Broadcom Inc. Information Technology |
$387.94 11:04 AM 08/03/26 |
$356.90 – $380.18 | $516.06 med — · n=48 |
33.49 · '27 N/A (no reliable FY2027 consensus EPS found) vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↑ +12% |
Strong Buy | Sep 03, 2026 — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $303 20% probability Custom AI ASIC (Google TPU / hyperscaler) demand growth decelerates or VMware integration synergies disappoint. Base $516 45% probability AI networking/ASIC revenue ramp tracks the ~$100B-by-2027 AI-chip revenue trajectory management has guided toward. Bull $609 35% probability New hyperscaler custom-silicon design win announced (beyond Google TPU); Sept 3 earnings beat-and-raise on AI networking demand. ConsensusSA Authors13 Authors in the Last 30 Days 38110 Wall Street48 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 377400 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $516.06 Median: — Range: $375 – $582 n=48 · spread 6.7% StockAnalysis.com $527.88 n=48 MarketBeat $493.24 n=32 TipRanks $527.06 n=20 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears the Strong Buy bar on all three criteria: 33% upside to mean target (>20%), WS score 4.68 (>=4.5), and bull-case weighting 35% (>=30%). Target spread across sources is tight (6.7%) — high cross-source agreement. FY2027 EPS/fwd P/E left as N/A: could not find a reliable full-year fiscal-2027 (ending Oct 2027) consensus distinct from CEO commentary about '$100B AI revenue by 2027,' which is a revenue not EPS figure — declined to back into an EPS estimate from that alone. FY2026 consensus EPS ($11.35) is consistent with SA's own fwd_pe_2026 implied EPS (~$11.59), a useful cross-check that the SA figure is reliable even without independent 2027 confirmation.
Sources
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| CEG Portfolio 2 | Constellation Energy Corporation Utilities |
$270.70 11:02 AM 08/03/26 |
$249.04 – $265.29 | $361.66 med — · n=23 |
22.44 · '27 N/A (no reliable full-year consensus found) vs Electric Utilities 18.0x ↑ +25% |
Buy | Aug 06, 2026 — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $230 30% probability Aug 6 earnings miss or guidance walk-back on nuclear uprate/data-center PPA timeline; power-price assumptions questioned. Base $362 40% probability AI-datacenter power demand and nuclear PPA pipeline (Microsoft/Meta-style deals) continue to materialize roughly as guided. Bull $416 30% probability New large-scale data-center power purchase agreement announced; Aug 6 beat-and-raise reinforces the nuclear-power-for-AI thesis. ConsensusSA Authors7 Authors in the Last 90 Days 14200 Wall Street23 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 146300 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $361.66 Median: — Range: $277 – $462 n=23 · spread 5.2% StockAnalysis.com $352.91 n=23 MarketBeat $360.45 n=23 TipRanks $371.61 n=18 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWS consensus score 4.47 sits just below the 4.5 Strong-Buy threshold despite 33.6% upside to mean target, so held at Buy rather than Strong Buy — same close-call pattern as other high-upside names this run; documented rather than rounded up. Analyst targets tightly clustered (5.2% spread across sources) — high agreement, not flagged as a disagreement risk. fwd_pe_2027 left as N/A: no reliable full-year 2027 consensus EPS was found (only fragmentary quarterly figures — Q1'27 -4% YoY to $2.62, Q2'27 +18% YoY to $2.84 — that don't responsibly sum to a full-year number without guessing at Q3/Q4). Rather than invent an annualized figure, left blank per the 'never invent data' rule. Earnings Aug 6, 2026 is only 3 days out — binary risk, so scenario probabilities widened to 30/40/30 (tempered vs. the semiconductor names this run since CEG's beta, 1.43, is markedly lower than the AI-infra tickers).
Sources
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| CLS Portfolio 1 | Celestica Inc. Information Technology |
$328.56 11:06 AM 08/03/26 |
$302.28 – $321.99 | $457.47 med — · n=20 |
29.13 · '27 N/A (no reliable full-year consensus found; company guides 2027 revenue growth >65% with EPS growth outpacing revenue) vs Electronic Manufacturing Services 20.0x ↑ +46% |
Strong Buy | Oct 26, 2026 — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $246 20% probability AI-datacenter hardware manufacturing (CCS segment) demand growth decelerates or a major customer diversifies away. Base $457 45% probability Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (AI server/networking hardware) beat-and-raise cadence continues into FY2027 as guided. Bull $540 35% probability 2027 revenue growth exceeds the >65% (2026) pace already guided; new hyperscaler manufacturing wins announced. ConsensusSA Authors13 Authors in the Last 30 Days 18310 Wall Street20 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 154100 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $457.47 Median: — Range: $300 – $550 n=20 · spread 8.8% StockAnalysis.com $477.12 n=19 MarketBeat $437.00 n=23 TipRanks $458.29 n=20 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria: 39.2% upside to mean target, WS score 4.70, bull-case weighting 35%. Note: prior dashboard entry (2026-04-27 re-analysis) had CLS at Hold, trading near 52-week highs with an imminent earnings binary event; that thesis has since been overtaken by a beat-and-raise cycle and a fresh wave of analyst target increases (many issued as recently as July 29, 2026), so the upgrade to Strong Buy reflects genuinely new information, not just re-scoring the same data. Target spread across sources (8.8%) is moderate, no major flag needed. FY2027 EPS/fwd P/E left N/A — no consensus figure found; only qualitative guidance that 2027 revenue growth should exceed 2026's 65% pace with EPS growing faster than revenue, which isn't enough to responsibly back into a number.
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| COHR Portfolio 1 | Coherent Corp. Information Technology |
$285.76 11:07 AM 08/03/26 |
$262.90 – $280.04 | $390.50 med — · n=22 |
48.23 · '27 N/A (only qualitative guidance: FY27 EPS growth expected to outpace revenue growth, no consensus figure found) vs Electronic Components / AI Optics 22.0x ↑ +119% |
Buy | ~Aug 11-12, 2026 — Estimated (sources conflict on exact date) | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $206 35% probability ~Aug 11-12 earnings miss/soft datacenter-optics guidance after today's +8.7% run; recent optics-sector selloff resumes. Base $391 30% probability AI datacenter optical networking demand and margin expansion continue roughly per Q3 FY26 trend (record $1.8B revenue, EPS +55% YoY). Bull $449 35% probability Beat-and-raise on 800G/1.6T optics demand; FY2027 guidance of EPS growth outpacing revenue growth confirmed with specifics. ConsensusSA Authors9 Authors in the Last 90 Days 15210 Wall Street22 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 134500 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $390.50 Median: — Range: $230 – $465 n=22 · spread 3.4% StockAnalysis.com $391.45 n=22 MarketBeat $383.41 n=22 TipRanks $396.64 n=22 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWS score 4.36 stays below the 4.5 Strong-Buy threshold despite 36.7% upside to mean target, so held at Buy. Earnings land within the next ~10 days (sources conflict: Aug 11 vs Aug 12) — inside the 14-day binary-risk window, so probabilities widened to 35/30/35. Today's +8.7% move (to $285.76 from $262.89 prior close) happened without an earnings catalyst identified in available sources — likely optics-sector-wide sentiment given COHR's history of sharp swings (52-week range $84-$440, beta 2.52); flagged as unexplained rather than assumed. Target spread across sources is tight (3.4%). fwd_pe_2027 left N/A — no full-year consensus EPS found, only qualitative 'EPS growth outpaces revenue growth' guidance.
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| CRDO Top 5 Bullish, SA top stocks | Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Information Technology |
$210.99 11:08 AM 08/03/26 |
$194.11 – $206.77 | $272.73 med — · n=19 |
33.79 · '27 N/A (only Q1 FY27 EPS estimate found, $1.16; no full-year consensus) vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↑ +13% |
Strong Buy | Sep 09, 2026 — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $152 20% probability Optical DSP/AEC demand growth decelerates or a hyperscaler customer diversifies suppliers; very high beta (3.68) amplifies any AI-capex sentiment shift. Base $273 45% probability Optical DSP ramp tracks the >80% FY2027 revenue growth guide roughly as management laid out. Bull $322 35% probability New hyperscaler design wins or faster-than-guided optical DSP ramp; Sept 9 earnings beat reinforces the growth thesis. ConsensusSA Authors16 Authors in the Last 30 Days 310210 Wall Street19 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 144100 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $272.73 Median: — Range: $184 – $350 n=19 · spread 4.8% StockAnalysis.com $279.29 n=19 MarketBeat $266.17 n=19 TipRanks $279.29 (matches S&P Global aggregate, no independent figure found) n=19 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria: 29.3% upside, WS score 4.68, bull weighting 35%. Beta of 3.68 is the highest of any ticker refreshed this session — position sizing should account for that even though the recommendation itself is Strong Buy. TipRanks target could not be independently confirmed (search returned the same $279.29 S&P Global aggregate as StockAnalysis.com); treated as a duplicate, not fresh corroboration, when assessing target-source agreement. fwd_pe_2027 left N/A — only a single-quarter FY27 EPS estimate ($1.16) was found, not enough to responsibly build a full-year figure.
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| CRWV | CoreWeave, Inc. Information Technology |
$81.27 11:09 AM 08/03/26 |
$74.77 – $79.64 | $138.38 med — · n=37 |
N/M (negative EPS) · '27 N/M (negative EPS — 2027 consensus is a net loss, avg -$708.6M per 39 analysts) (no sector benchmark) |
Buy | Aug 05, 2026 — Confirmed (2 days out) | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $53 30% probability Aug 5 earnings disappoint on capex/backlog conversion or a major hyperscaler contract renegotiation surfaces; short-interest-driven volatility (14.4% short) cuts both ways. Base $138 35% probability GPU cloud capacity contracts (Microsoft/OpenAI-style deals) continue to convert to revenue roughly as backlog implies. Bull $152 35% probability Aug 5 beat-and-raise plus new hyperscaler capacity agreement; possible short-covering squeeze given 14.4% short interest. ConsensusSA Authors12 Authors in the Last 30 Days 51321 Wall Street37 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 215911 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $138.38 Median: — Range: $36 – $303 n=37 · spread 3.3% StockAnalysis.com $138.03 n=37 MarketBeat $136.25 n=37 TipRanks $140.85 n=36 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksHeadline upside to mean target is 70% but WS score (4.18) sits well below the 4.5 Strong-Buy threshold and the company is still unprofitable with a negative 2027 EPS consensus — recommendation judgment-called to Buy rather than Strong Buy despite the huge upside number, because a chunk of that upside reflects CRWV's post-selloff low starting price (down from a 52wk high of $153.20) and genuine execution/financing risk, not pure analyst conviction. fwd_pe_2026 and fwd_pe_2027 both N/M — company is not yet profitable on a consensus basis. Earnings land in 2 days (Aug 5) — binary risk, so probabilities widened to 30/35/35. Today's +13.2% move ($71.77 to $81.27) has no confirmed news catalyst in available sources; flagged as unexplained rather than attributed to a specific event — high short interest (14.4%) makes a pre-earnings squeeze a plausible but unconfirmed explanation.
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| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc. Information Technology |
$420.55 11:00 AM 08/03/26 |
$386.91 – $412.14 | $494.84 med — · n=27 |
22.02 · '27 23.67 vs Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 20.0x ↑ +10% |
Buy | Sep 03, 2026 — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $315 25% probability AI-server/PC demand growth decelerates, margin pressure from component costs; multiple compresses off recent highs. Base $495 50% probability AI infrastructure order backlog (ISG) converts to revenue roughly as guided; steady PC refresh cycle. Bull $584 25% probability AI server demand and backlog conversion beat guidance; FY27 EPS tracks toward company's own $17.90 adjusted guide or higher. ConsensusSA Authors17 Authors in the Last 30 Days 17810 Wall Street27 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 145800 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $494.84 Median: — Range: $213 – $700 n=27 · spread 3.2% StockAnalysis.com $502.78 n=27 MarketBeat $494.67 n=32 TipRanks $487.06 n=19 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksAnalyst targets tightly clustered (3.2% spread across StockAnalysis.com/MarketBeat/TipRanks) — no material disagreement to flag, unlike some AI-infra peers. FY2027 EPS used ($17.77 analyst consensus) closely tracks Dell's own adjusted guidance of $17.90, giving more confidence in the fwd P/E'27 figure than usual. Wide individual analyst target dispersion exists (Susquehanna $289 Neutral vs UBS $700) reflecting differing views on AI-server margin durability — captured in high/low but not the mean. Earnings ~Sep 3, 2026 is about a month out, not an immediate binary risk, so used default 25/50/25 scenario weighting.
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| GOOG Portfolio 2 | Alphabet Inc. Communication Services |
$369.66 11:10 AM 08/03/26 |
$340.09 – $357.75 | $420.89 med — · n=63 |
17.33 · '27 N/A — data conflict, see notes vs Interactive Media / Mega-cap Internet 24.0x ↓ -28% |
Buy | Oct 27, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $296 25% probability AI-search disruption fears resurface or capex spend (raised in Q2'26 print, per CNBC) pressures margins without matching revenue growth. Base $421 50% probability Search + Cloud + YouTube growth continues alongside heavy AI capex, roughly tracking current WS Strong Buy consensus. Bull $484 25% probability Gemini/AI monetization and Cloud growth accelerate faster than capex growth, easing margin concerns raised after the Q2 print. ConsensusSA Authors43 Authors in the Last 30 Days 1023730 Wall Street63 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 4413600 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $420.89 Median: — Range: $275 – $515 n=63 · spread 4.9% StockAnalysis.com $421.79 n=63 MarketBeat $410.09 n=39 TipRanks $430.78 n=12 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / Risks13.9% upside to mean target lands squarely in the Buy bracket (10-20%) even though WS score (4.60) clears the Strong-Buy threshold — upside doesn't clear the 20% bar needed for Strong Buy, so held at Buy. IMPORTANT DATA CONFLICT on fwd_pe_2027: SA's fwd_pe_2026 (17.33) implies FY2026 EPS of ~$21.33, but multiple independent web searches for FY2027 consensus EPS returned figures in the $11.51-$14.68 range (Zacks x2, one other source) — i.e., a 30-45% YoY EPS *decline*, which is implausible for a company with Alphabet's growth/margin profile and doesn't reconcile with the implied FY2026 base. Rather than compute a fwd_pe_2027 off a figure that likely reflects a different EPS basis (GAAP vs non-GAAP, or a stale/mismatched consensus vintage) than SA's own number, left it N/A — flagging this explicitly rather than silently picking one side. Target spread across sources is tight (4.9%).
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| KMT | Kennametal Inc. Industrials |
$34.65 11:12 AM 08/03/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $36.15 med — · n=9 |
8.71 · '27 8.15 (statutory/GAAP EPS basis — see notes) vs Industrial Machinery & Supplies 16.0x ↓ -46% |
Hold | N/A — not found in available sources | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $29 35% probability Industrial/machine-tool demand softens further; tungsten input-cost pressure and restructuring execution risk weigh on margins. Base $36 45% probability Cost-takeout program (targeting ~$110M by end of FY2027) proceeds roughly as guided, offsetting soft top-line. Bull $40 20% probability Industrial demand recovery plus cost-takeout program ahead of schedule drives a re-rating off depressed multiples. ConsensusSA Authors1 Author in the Last 90 Days 00100 Wall Street8 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 00521 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $36.15 Median: — Range: $31 – $47.50 n=9 · spread 8.1% StockAnalysis.com $34.86 n=8 MarketBeat $35.79 n=9 TipRanks $37.80 (approximate, via search) n= Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWS consensus is Hold (score 2.50, 5 downgrades vs 1 upgrade in the past 90 days per MarketBeat) — one of the weaker setups refreshed this session. Only 4.3% upside to mean target, and the stock (+2.0% today) has already run into/through the attractive buy zone ('Above zone — wait for pullback'). Used weak-setup probability weighting (35/45/20) reflecting the Hold consensus and recent downgrade trend rather than the momentum-tier weighting used for the AI-infra names this session. FY2027 EPS ($4.25, 'statutory' i.e. GAAP, +136% YoY per source) likely reflects recovery from a restructuring-charge-depressed FY2026 GAAP base, not directly comparable to SA's non-GAAP fwd_pe_2026 (8.71) — fwd_pe_2027 computed from it (8.15) should be read as approximate given the GAAP/non-GAAP basis mismatch. Next earnings date could not be confirmed from available sources — left N/A rather than guessing. One TipRanks-attributed search result returned an internally-inconsistent $24 target with a mismatched price base; discarded as unreliable and replaced with a $37.80 approximate figure corroborated by a separate search.
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| LITE Portfolio 1 | Lumentum Holdings Inc. Information Technology |
$760.20 11:13 AM 08/03/26 |
$699.38 – $745.00 | $1,072.56 med — · n=25 |
86.78 · '27 45.60 (fiscal-year timing caveat, see notes) vs Communications Equipment / AI Optics 22.0x ↑ +294% |
Buy | Aug 11, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $517 35% probability Aug 11 earnings miss or soft AI-optics guidance after a +114% YTD run and today's +6.5% pre-earnings pop; high short interest (11.3%) cuts both ways. Base $1,073 30% probability 1.6T optical transceiver / AI-datacenter demand ramp continues roughly as guided into FY2027. Bull $1,180 35% probability Aug 11 beat-and-raise plus new hyperscaler design wins; FY2027 EPS growth (guided +160% YoY) tracks or exceeds consensus. ConsensusSA Authors20 Authors in the Last 30 Days 411410 Wall Street25 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 165400 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $1,072.56 Median: — Range: $240 – $1,400 n=25 · spread 8.6% StockAnalysis.com $1,105 n=25 MarketBeat $1,012.67 n=21 TipRanks $1,100 (29 analysts, approximate) n=29 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWS score 4.48 stays just below the 4.5 Strong-Buy threshold despite 41% upside to mean target, so held at Buy — same close-call pattern seen elsewhere this run. Earnings land in 8 days (Aug 11) — squarely inside the 14-day binary-risk window, and the stock is already extended (+114% YTD, +6.5% today alone) — probabilities widened to 35/30/35 accordingly. fwd_pe_2027 (45.6x) computed from a FY2027 consensus EPS of $16.67 (+159.7% YoY per one source); flagged with a fiscal-year-timing caveat since Lumentum's fiscal year ends in June, so 'FY2027' partially overlaps calendar 2026-27 and the growth base for that 159.7% figure wasn't independently confirmed against SA's own fwd_pe_2026 implied EPS (~$8.76) — treat as directionally useful, not precise. Target spread across sources (8.6%) is moderate.
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| LUNR Portfolio 1 | Intuitive Machines, Inc. Industrials |
$12.92 11:15 AM 08/03/26 |
$11.89 – $12.66 | $29.08 (see notes — extreme disagreement, not a reliable single figure) med — · n=9 |
N/M (negative EPS) · '27 N/M (2027 consensus EPS still negative on average, -$0.13) (no sector benchmark) |
Buy | Aug 13, 2026 (BMO) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $7.75 40% probability Aug 13 earnings disappoint on NASA/commercial lunar-mission cadence or cash burn; company remains unprofitable and highly dilution-prone. Base $14 30% probability Current CLPS/NASA contract cadence continues without major new wins or setbacks; stock drifts with sector sentiment. Bull $26 30% probability New NASA/commercial lunar contract award or a successful high-profile mission milestone re-rates the stock sharply higher. ConsensusSA Authors6 Authors in the Last 90 Days 14100 Wall Street9 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 70110 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $29.08 (see notes — extreme disagreement, not a reliable single figure) Median: — Range: $8.50 – $75 n=9 · spread 84.3% StockAnalysis.com $39.22 n=9 MarketBeat $33.31 n=11 TipRanks $14.71 n=8 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksFLAGGING EXTREME TARGET DISAGREEMENT (84.3% spread) rather than presenting a blended average as reliable: StockAnalysis.com $39.22 vs MarketBeat $33.31 vs TipRanks $14.71 — a >2.5x range between the low and high source averages, far beyond the ~10% threshold where this skill's methodology calls for reporting sources separately instead of averaging. This level of disagreement is a red flag in itself for a speculative, unprofitable, thinly-traded (beta 3.22) small-cap lunar-services name — treat any single 'upside %' headline figure with real skepticism. Held recommendation at Buy (not Strong Buy) despite the WS rating, given the extreme uncertainty; scenario prices deliberately set well below the wilder analyst targets (bull case $26, not $39+) to avoid implicitly endorsing the most optimistic outlier. Earnings Aug 13 is 10 days out — binary risk for a company that is still burning cash, so probabilities widened further than usual (40/30/30) to reflect skew toward downside risk in a disappointing scenario.
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| META Portfolio 2 | Meta Platforms, Inc. Communication Services |
$592.37 11:16 AM 08/03/26 |
$546.27 – $580.52 | $792.32 med — · n=62 |
18.00 · '27 16.69 vs Interactive Media / Mega-cap Internet 24.0x ↓ -25% |
Strong Buy | Oct 28, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $462 20% probability AI capex ($145B ceiling for 2026) continues to crush free cash flow (-91% YoY this quarter) without matching AI-monetization payoff; market patience runs out. Base $792 45% probability 28% YoY ad revenue growth continues to offset heavy AI infrastructure spend; potential new cloud-computing business adds an optionality narrative. Bull $887 35% probability AI-driven ad targeting keeps beating expectations and the AI capex cycle starts showing clear ROI, easing FCF concerns. ConsensusSA Authors30 Authors in the Last 30 Days 813720 Wall Street62 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 478700 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $792.32 Median: — Range: $580 – $1,015 n=62 · spread 8.0% StockAnalysis.com $762 n=62 MarketBeat $789.95 n=47 TipRanks $825 n=66 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria: 33.75% upside to mean target, WS score 4.64, bull-case weighting 35%. Important context: this recommendation comes on the SAME DAY as a Q2 earnings report showing real profitability deterioration (EPS -13% YoY, free cash flow -91% YoY) — the market's +6.4% reaction reflects conviction that 28% ad-revenue growth and AI monetization justify the $145B capex ceiling, but that thesis is not yet proven in the numbers. Flagging this explicitly rather than letting the Strong Buy label imply the capex/FCF risk isn't real. 2027 EPS ($35.5, averaging two analyst estimates of $35-$36) is reasonably consistent across sources, giving more confidence in fwd_pe_2027 (16.69x) than for some other names this session. Target spread across sources is a manageable 8%.
Sources
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| MP | MP Materials Corp. Materials |
$43.58 11:17 AM 08/03/26 |
$40.09 – $42.71 | $77.93 med — · n=18 |
244.60 · '27 N/A (no consensus found; FY2026 consensus EPS is only $0.26, near-breakeven — a 2027 fwd P/E would be extremely sensitive to small EPS revisions) (no sector benchmark) |
Strong Buy | Aug 06, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $33 30% probability Aug 6 earnings disappoint on DoD/Pentagon offtake ramp or rare-earth pricing softens; still near-breakeven so any miss hits sentiment hard. Base $78 35% probability US critical-minerals policy tailwind (DoD equity stake, China export-control response) and magnet-facility ramp continue roughly as guided. Bull $82 35% probability Aug 6 beat plus new DoD/commercial offtake agreement announced; rare-earth price strength persists. ConsensusSA Authors5 Authors in the Last 90 Days 01400 Wall Street18 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 135000 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $77.93 Median: — Range: $60 – $112 n=18 · spread 0.6% StockAnalysis.com $77.78 n=18 MarketBeat $78.21 n=18 TipRanks $77.79 n=12 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria: 78.8% upside to mean target, WS score 4.72, and (with the widened binary-risk weighting below) bull-case 35%. WORTH FLAGGING: all four recent individual analyst actions found (JPMorgan, Needham, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, late June-July 2026) trimmed their PRICE TARGETS (75->60, 81->73, 69->65, 70->61) even while maintaining Buy/Overweight ratings — the average may be lagging that downward-revision trend somewhat, though only Morgan Stanley among the sources found raised its target (70->71.50). Not treated as a reason to downgrade since ratings themselves didn't move, but noted for context. Earnings land in 3 days (Aug 6) — high short interest (16.0%) and still-minimal profitability make this a binary catalyst, so probabilities widened to 30/35/35 rather than the full momentum-tier 20/45/35. fwd_pe_2027 left N/A — no consensus found and FY2026 EPS is so close to breakeven ($0.26) that a 2027 multiple would be extremely noisy.
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| MRVL Portfolio 1 | Marvell Technology, Inc. Information Technology |
$190.92 11:01 AM 08/03/26 |
$175.65 – $187.10 | $253.09 med — · n=43 |
46.32 · '27 49.98 (see notes on fiscal-year overlap) vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↑ +54% |
Strong Buy | Aug 20, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $137 20% probability Custom-silicon/AI-networking design win growth decelerates or a hyperscaler pulls back capex, hitting the premium multiple hard. Base $253 45% probability Custom AI ASIC and data-center interconnect ramp tracks current design-win pipeline roughly as guided. Bull $304 35% probability New hyperscaler custom-silicon wins announced; Aug 20 earnings beat/raise reinforces AI-networking share gains. ConsensusSA Authors35 Authors in the Last 30 Days 6151211 Wall Street43 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 308500 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $253.09 Median: — Range: $105 – $400 n=43 · spread 4.5% StockAnalysis.com $256.91 n=43 MarketBeat $245.45 n=37 TipRanks $256.91 n=40 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWS consensus Strong Buy at score 4.58 (above 4.5 threshold) with 32.6% upside to mean target and tight cross-source target agreement (4.5% spread) — clears the Strong Buy bar on all three criteria (upside >20%, bull prob 35%>=30%, score>=4.5). Fwd P/E '26 (46.32x, from SA) and '27 (49.98x, computed) both elevated vs the 30x semiconductor segment benchmark — flagged yellow, priced for continued AI-networking share gains. CAUTION on the FY2027 EPS figure ($3.82, ending ~Jan 2027): Marvell's fiscal year is offset from the calendar, so 'FY2027' consensus may substantially overlap with what SA's fwd_pe_2026 already prices in — treat the FY27 P/E as directionally elevated valuation, not a precise distinct-year multiple. An earlier search hit returned a conflicting $1.85 EPS figure inconsistent with SA's implied ~$4.12 current-FY EPS; discarded as likely a GAAP/non-GAAP or stale-estimate mismatch. Earnings Aug 20 is 17 days out — just outside the 14-day binary-risk window, so no caution override applied.
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| MSFT Top 5 Bullish, Portfolio 1 | Microsoft Corporation Information Technology |
$481.84 11:19 AM 08/03/26 |
$443.29 – $472.20 | $561.28 med — · n=57 |
23.71 · '27 25.29 (see notes — FY2027 EPS estimate uncertain, used higher post-earnings-beat figure) vs Systems Software / Mega-cap Cloud 26.0x ↓ -9% |
Buy | Oct 27, 2026 (Q1 FY2027, AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $400 25% probability Azure/AI-infrastructure capex growth decelerates or margin pressure emerges after the post-earnings rally cools. Base $561 50% probability Cloud (Azure) and Copilot/AI monetization continue tracking the July 29 beat-and-raise trajectory into FY2027. Bull $629 25% probability AI monetization (Copilot, Azure AI services) accelerates faster than guided; FY2027 EPS tracks toward the higher $19+ estimates. ConsensusSA Authors32 Authors in the Last 30 Days 1215410 Wall Street57 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 4014300 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $561.28 Median: — Range: $400 – $870 n=57 · spread 0.8% StockAnalysis.com $562.16 n=56 MarketBeat $558.64 n=47 TipRanks $563.05 n=53 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / Risks16.5% upside to mean target lands in the Buy bracket (10-20%) despite WS score (4.64) clearing the Strong-Buy threshold — upside doesn't reach the >20% bar. Note this comes right after a major post-earnings rally (stock still +3.68% today, several days after the July 29 beat), so the gap to target has already partly closed since the beat. FY2027 EPS is genuinely uncertain across sources: broader consensus cited at $16.70 vs Scotiabank's post-beat estimate of $19.05 — used the higher, more-recent figure for fwd_pe_2027 (25.29x) since it better reflects the just-reported beat, but flagging that the lower consensus figure would put the multiple meaningfully higher (~28.9x); treat fwd_pe_2027 as directional given this spread. Target spread across sources is unusually tight (0.8%) — high agreement on the near-term target itself, if not on the earnings base.
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| MU Portfolio 1 | Micron Technology, Inc. Information Technology |
$816.88 11:21 AM 08/03/26 |
$751.53 – $800.54 | $1,432.73 med — · n=45 |
11.21 · '27 N/A (no FY2027 consensus found; only FY2026 estimate of $72.75, which closely matches SA's implied ~$72.87) vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↓ -63% |
Strong Buy | Sep 29, 2026 — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $531 25% probability Memory pricing supercycle rolls over faster than expected or hyperscaler HBM demand growth decelerates; stock has already pulled back ~35% from its 52wk high. Base $1,433 40% probability HBM/DRAM pricing strength and AI-datacenter memory demand continue tracking the current beat-and-raise cycle roughly as guided. Bull $1,576 35% probability Memory pricing stays elevated longer than expected on continued AI capex; FY2027 guidance (once given) confirms the growth trajectory. ConsensusSA Authors45 Authors in the Last 30 Days 1219644 Wall Street45 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 319500 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $1,432.73 Median: — Range: $361 – $2,200 n=45 · spread 17.7% StockAnalysis.com $1,507 n=45 MarketBeat $1,268.93 n=38 TipRanks $1,522.26 n=42 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria: 75.4% upside to mean target, WS score 4.57, bull-case weighting 35%. Target spread across sources (17.7%) is meaningfully above the ~10% disagreement threshold — reported per-source rather than treating the blended mean as precise; ranges from MarketBeat's more conservative $1,268.93 to TipRanks' $1,522.26. FY2026 EPS estimate ($72.75, recently raised from $61.01) closely matches SA's own implied FY2026 EPS (~$72.87 from the 11.21x fwd P/E) — a good cross-check that this figure is reliable, unlike some other names this session. No FY2027 consensus was found, so fwd_pe_2027 is N/A rather than guessed. One search-engine result citing a $173 TipRanks target was discarded as clearly stale (pre-dates the current supercycle rally by a wide margin, inconsistent with an $817 stock price).
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| NBIS Portfolio 1 | Nebius Group N.V. Information Technology |
$213.78 11:22 AM 08/03/26 |
$196.68 – $204.12 | $240.14 med — · n=17 |
N/M (negative/not computed by SA) · '27 N/M (still unprofitable; no consensus EPS found, next-quarter estimate is -$0.61) (no sector benchmark) |
Buy | Aug 12, 2026 (BMO) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $139 35% probability Aug 12 earnings show slower-than-hoped AI compute revenue ramp or cash-burn concerns resurface; extremely high short interest (27.7%) adds volatility either direction. Base $240 30% probability AI GPU-cloud compute demand (Reflection AI $1B deal, other hyperscaler/enterprise contracts) continues converting to revenue roughly as recent deal flow suggests. Bull $264 35% probability Aug 12 beat plus new large compute contract announced; possible short-covering squeeze given 27.7% short interest, the highest in this portfolio. ConsensusSA Authors21 Authors in the Last 30 Days 88230 Wall Street17 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 101510 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $240.14 Median: — Range: $120 – $410 n=17 · spread 15.0% StockAnalysis.com $258.13 n=17 MarketBeat $222.15 n=17 TipRanks $258.13 (matches S&P Global aggregate, no independent figure found) n=17 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksBase-case upside to mean target (12.3%) technically lands in the Buy bracket, but this comes right after today's +12.3% move, which closed much of the gap that existed before — the stock is not obviously cheap relative to targets anymore. Held at Buy rather than Hold given the still-positive WS consensus (score 4.17) and genuinely positive recent news flow (Reflection AI deal, debt facility for expansion), but this is a high-risk position: still unprofitable, 27.7% short interest (highest in this dashboard), beta 2.41, and earnings in 9 days. Today's intraday price shows some conflict across sources — SA's live authenticated fetch (treated as authoritative per project rules) shows $213.78 up 12.27%, while a search snippet referenced a lower $182.50-$207.82 range for the same date; the SA figure was used as the source of record. Target spread (15.0%) is elevated — MarketBeat's $222.15 is notably more conservative than StockAnalysis.com's $258.13. fwd P/E both years N/M — company remains unprofitable with no full-year consensus EPS found.
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| NVDA Portfolio 1 | NVIDIA Corporation Information Technology |
$207.09 11:23 AM 08/03/26 |
$190.52 – $202.95 | $303.27 med — · n=61 |
22.32 · '27 22.17 (see notes — fiscal-year overlap makes this nearly identical to fwd_pe_2026) vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↓ -26% |
Strong Buy | Aug 25-26, 2026 — Estimated (sources vary by a day) | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $162 20% probability Datacenter GPU demand growth decelerates, export-control policy tightens further, or a hyperscaler capex pullback surfaces. Base $303 45% probability Blackwell/Rubin GPU ramp and datacenter AI capex continue tracking the current Strong Buy consensus roughly as guided. Bull $349 35% probability Aug 25-26 earnings beat-and-raise on continued AI infrastructure demand; new large-scale deployment or sovereign-AI deal announced. ConsensusSA Authors24 Authors in the Last 30 Days 810222 Wall Street61 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 4810201 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $303.27 Median: — Range: $180 – $500 n=61 · spread 0.5% StockAnalysis.com $302.83 n=61 MarketBeat $304.26 n=53 TipRanks $302.73 n=68 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria: 46.5% upside to mean target, WS score 4.70, bull-case weighting 35%. Target spread across sources is the tightest of any ticker refreshed this session (0.5%) — StockAnalysis.com, MarketBeat, and TipRanks all converge near $303. FY2027 EPS ($9.34) closely matches SA's own fwd_pe_2026 implied EPS (~$9.28) — because NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, 'FY2027' substantially overlaps calendar 2026, so fwd_pe_2027 (22.17x) is nearly identical to fwd_pe_2026 (22.32x) rather than representing a materially different forward year; flagging this rather than presenting the two P/E figures as independent data points. Earnings are ~3 weeks out — outside the 14-day binary-risk window, so used the standard momentum-tier weighting (20/45/35) rather than a widened one.
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| PLTR Portfolio 1 | Palantir Technologies Inc. Information Technology |
$125.42 11:24 AM 08/03/26 (PRE-EARNINGS — see notes) |
$115.39 – $122.91 | $184.44 med — · n=32 |
83.60 · '27 N/A (no FY2027 consensus found) vs Application Software / AI Platform 35.0x ↑ +139% |
Buy | Aug 03, 2026 (AMC) — TODAY, results not yet released as of this analysis | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $95 35% probability Q2 2026 results TODAY (after this snapshot) break the 8-straight-beat streak or guidance disappoints; options market is pricing a ~12% same-day swing either way. Base $184 30% probability Results land roughly in line with the 115% YoY EPS growth already expected ($0.28 Q2 EPS consensus); commercial + government AIP momentum continues. Bull $220 35% probability 9th straight beat-and-raise extends the government/commercial AIP growth narrative; stock reclaims ground toward its $207.52 52-week high. ConsensusSA Authors20 Authors in the Last 30 Days 87212 Wall Street32 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 1911011 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $184.44 Median: — Range: $70 – $255 n=32 · spread 4.7% StockAnalysis.com $182.20 n=32 MarketBeat $189.88 n=35 TipRanks $181.24 n=21 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksCRITICAL TIMING NOTE: Palantir reports Q2 2026 earnings after market close TODAY (Aug 3, 2026) — the SA price snapshot ($125.42, 11:24 AM) and every downstream figure in this row (buy zone, scenarios, recommendation) reflect PRE-EARNINGS conditions and should be treated as provisional. Options markets are pricing an approximately 12% same-day move in either direction per a same-day TradingKey preview. Recommend re-running this ticker after the print rather than relying on this entry for a same-day decision. 47% upside to mean target is large, but WS score (4.12) is the lowest Strong-Buy-adjacent score of the 'Buy' names refreshed this session, so held at Buy rather than Strong Buy even setting aside the earnings risk. Given results drop literally today, probabilities widened to 35/30/35 and bear/bull scenario prices set closer to the current price (±~25%) rather than stretching to the full analyst target range, to avoid implying false precision about a catalyst that hasn't happened yet. fwd_pe_2027 left N/A — no consensus found.
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| SNDK Portfolio 1 | Sandisk Corporation Information Technology |
$1,257.62 10:56 AM 08/03/26 |
$1,157.01 – $1,232.47 | $2,023.75 med — · n=23 |
18.38 · '27 7.11 (est., see notes) vs Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 20.0x ↓ -8% |
Buy | Aug 05, 2026 (timing TBD) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $880 35% probability Aug 5 earnings miss/guide-down after parabolic 2026 run triggers sharp multiple compression; memory pricing momentum stalls. Base $1,750 30% probability NBM long-term supply agreements ramp roughly as guided; partial (not full) realization of consensus EPS upgrades given estimate dispersion. Bull $2,400 35% probability Aug 5 beat-and-raise confirms AI-storage supercycle thesis; further price-target hikes (BofA/Cantor/Evercore-style) follow. ConsensusSA Authors17 Authors in the Last 30 Days 26522 Wall Street23 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 153410 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $2,023.75 Median: — Range: $235 – $3,169 n=23 · spread 20.1% StockAnalysis.com $2,218 n=23 MarketBeat $1,811.38 n=26 TipRanks $2,041.88 n=16 Yahoo N/A (fetch blocked, HTTP 503) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWS consensus is 'Buy' at score 4.39 — just below the 4.5 Strong-Buy threshold, so recommendation held at Buy despite huge headline upside. Analyst price targets show 20% spread across sources (StockAnalysis.com $2,218 vs MarketBeat $1,811 vs TipRanks $2,042) amid rapid target revisions (BofA to $2,500, Cantor to $2,900, Evercore to $3,100 within recent weeks) — reported per source, not averaged blind. FY2027 consensus EPS is highly unstable across sources ($89-$208 depending on date/source); used $177 (most-repeated figure) for fwd P/E '27 — treat that P/E as a rough estimate, not a precise number, given the estimate is itself in flux. Earnings Aug 5, 2026 is 2 days out — high-beta (2.73) binary catalyst, so scenario probabilities widened to 35/30/35 and base case set below full consensus-target realization (judgment call) rather than a straight average of analyst targets, given estimate uncertainty. Yahoo Finance analysis page fetch failed (HTTP 503); TipRanks direct page fetch failed (HTTP 403), figures sourced via web search instead.
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| SNOW Portfolio 1 | Snowflake Inc. Information Technology |
$313.26 11:26 AM 08/03/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $289.97 med — · n=51 |
151.52 · '27 175.01 (see notes — fiscal-year overlap and EPS-basis mismatch vs SA's own figure) vs Internet Services / Cloud Data Platform 30.0x ↑ +405% |
Trim | Aug 26, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $220 35% probability Stock corrects back toward the TipRanks-implied low end ($221) as the gap between price and analyst targets closes; Aug 26 earnings becomes a de-rating risk if growth decelerates. Base $290 45% probability Price mean-reverts toward the current analyst consensus target as today's unexplained rally partially unwinds; underlying ~30%+ revenue growth continues. Bull $370 20% probability Today's strength (part of a broad tech/AI rally, not a company-specific catalyst) proves durable; Aug 26 beat-and-raise justifies the premium multiple. ConsensusSA Authors19 Authors in the Last 30 Days 261010 Wall Street51 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 359601 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $289.97 Median: — Range: $110 – $500 n=51 · spread 10.8% StockAnalysis.com $302.29 n=51 MarketBeat $296.68 n=40 TipRanks $270.94 n=34 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksFLAGGING A GENUINE DIVERGENCE: mean analyst price target ($289.97) sits 7.4% BELOW the current price ($313.26), even though the WS qualitative rating is 'Strong Buy' (score 4.50) — the quantitative price targets haven't caught up to today's rally. This is the only ticker refreshed this session where the base-case upside is negative. Per the recommendation logic (base price below current by 5-15% with elevated bear probability), this maps to Trim rather than the Strong Buy the qualitative rating alone would suggest — following the numbers rather than the label. Buy zone computed as 'Above zone — wait for pullback' since the stock is at its 52-week high. Target spread across sources (10.8%) is just past the 10% disagreement threshold. fwd_pe_2027 (175x, using a $1.79 FY2027 EPS consensus figure ending Jan 2027) doesn't cleanly reconcile with SA's own fwd_pe_2026 implied EPS (~$2.07) given Snowflake's non-calendar fiscal year — treat as a rough estimate, not precise, similar to the NVDA/MRVL fiscal-year-overlap caveat elsewhere in this dashboard.
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| TEAM Portfolio 1 | Atlassian Corporation Information Technology |
$103.57 11:27 AM 08/03/26 |
$95.28 – $101.50 | $137.36 med — · n=32 |
18.35 · '27 N/A (no FY2027 consensus found) vs Application Software 28.0x ↓ -34% |
Buy | Aug 06, 2026 — Confirmed (3 days out) | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $81 35% probability Aug 6 earnings show continued cloud-migration growth deceleration or seat-based pricing pressure; stock is already down ~45% from its 52-week high. Base $137 30% probability Cloud + AI-assisted dev-tools (Rovo, etc.) growth stabilizes roughly in line with consensus; no further guidance cuts. Bull $144 35% probability Aug 6 beat-and-raise reverses the recent target-cutting trend; cloud migration re-accelerates. ConsensusSA Authors7 Authors in the Last 90 Days 41110 Wall Street32 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 215600 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $137.36 Median: — Range: $95 – $480 n=32 · spread 4.2% StockAnalysis.com $139.70 n=32 MarketBeat $138.50 n=28 TipRanks $133.89 n=43 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWS score 4.46 stays just below the 4.5 Strong-Buy threshold despite 32.6% upside to mean target, so held at Buy — consistent with the close-call pattern seen for several names this session. WORTH FLAGGING: unlike the AI-infra momentum names, the recent individual analyst actions here skew toward target cuts (4 of 5 recent actions found were reductions, including one outright downgrade to Hold), even though the aggregate consensus rating hasn't moved off Buy yet — this reads as a name still working through a post-selloff repricing rather than a fresh momentum story. Earnings in 3 days (Aug 6) is a real binary risk on top of that, so probabilities widened to 35/30/35. Target spread across sources is tight (4.2%).
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| TSM Top 5 Bullish, SA top stocks | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited Information Technology |
$402.41 11:28 AM 08/03/26 |
$370.22 – $394.36 | $516.84 med — · n=19 |
24.03 · '27 30.39 (see notes — known ADR/TWD conversion caveat) vs Semiconductors (foundry) 30.0x ↓ -20% |
Strong Buy | Oct 15, 2026 — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $322 20% probability Advanced-node demand growth decelerates, geopolitical (Taiwan Strait) risk resurfaces, or AI capex growth slows at major customers (NVDA/AMD/AAPL). Base $517 45% probability Advanced-node (3nm/2nm) capacity ramp and AI-driven demand continue tracking guidance; management's 55-59% AI-revenue CAGR target through 2029 stays on track. Bull $594 35% probability Oct 15 earnings beat-and-raise on AI chip demand; further upward capacity/pricing revisions from major foundry customers. ConsensusSA Authors19 Authors in the Last 30 Days 313300 Wall Street19 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 126100 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $516.84 Median: — Range: $330 – $700 n=19 · spread 8.0% StockAnalysis.com $537.43 n=19 MarketBeat $496.25 n=16 TipRanks $537.43 (matches S&P Global aggregate, no independent figure confirmed) n=19 Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria: 28.4% upside to mean target, WS score 4.57, bull-case weighting 35%. Per this project's known caveat (documented in CLAUDE.md): TSM's ADR EPS figures are tricky because stockanalysis.com reports fundamentals in TWD, not USD, so cross-source EPS comparisons are less reliable than for pure-USD-reporting peers. fwd_pe_2027 (30.39x, using a Wedbush FY2027 EPS estimate of $13.24 USD) is notably higher than fwd_pe_2026 (24.03x, from SA) — an unusual direction (multiple expanding into the forward year) that may reflect the TWD/USD ADR conversion noise this ticker is known for rather than a genuine valuation shift; treat with extra caution versus other tickers' fwd_pe_2027 figures this session. Target spread across sources (8.0%) is moderate. Earnings ~10 weeks out — no near-term binary-risk override applied.
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| TTMI | TTM Technologies, Inc. Information Technology |
$119.26 11:28 AM 08/03/26 |
$109.72 – $116.87 | $212.00 med — · n=6 |
28.59 · '27 N/A (no consensus found) vs Electronic Manufacturing Services / PCB (AI/defense-adjacent) 20.0x ↑ +43% |
Strong Buy | Aug 05, 2026 — Confirmed (2 days out) | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $89 35% probability Aug 5 earnings miss after two recent Hold downgrades (Weiss, Zacks) resurface concerns; thin analyst coverage (4-6 analysts) means any single data point moves the stock a lot. Base $212 30% probability PCB/advanced-electronics demand (AI datacenter, aerospace/defense exposure) continues tracking the price-target raises from Needham/Truist/Stifel/B.Riley in late May-June. Bull $223 35% probability Aug 5 beat reinforces AI-datacenter and defense PCB demand; stock reclaims ground toward its 52-week high ($223.83). ConsensusSA Authors8 Authors in the Last 90 Days 15200 Wall Street4 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 31000 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $212.00 Median: — Range: $205 – $220 n=6 · spread 0.0% StockAnalysis.com $212.00 n=4 MarketBeat $212.00 n=6 TipRanks N/A (search returned a clearly stale $76.50 figure, discarded as inconsistent with $119+ current price) n= Yahoo N/A (not independently pulled) n= Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksClears Strong Buy on all three criteria (77.8% upside, WS score 4.75, widened bull weighting 35%), but treat this with extra caution: analyst coverage is thin (only 4-6 analysts vs 20-60+ for the mega-cap names this session), so the WS score and target average are far less statistically robust. The 90-day rating history is genuinely mixed — 4 target raises from Buy-rated analysts alongside 2 outright downgrades to Hold (Weiss, Zacks) — which a 4-analyst 'Strong Buy' consensus score doesn't fully capture. Earnings in 2 days (Aug 5) is a real binary risk for a stock this thinly covered, so probabilities widened to 35/30/35. One TipRanks-attributed search result returned a clearly stale $76.50 target inconsistent with the current $119 price; discarded rather than used. fwd_pe_2027 left N/A — no consensus found.
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