| Ticker | Company / Sector | Price | Buy Zone | Mean Target | Fwd P/E '26 · '27 | Rec. | Earnings | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Information Technology |
$447.25 1:42 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $384.58 med — · n=44 |
55.69 · '27 31.95 vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↑ +86% |
Hold | Aug 5, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $330 25% probability Multiple compression on rich valuation; AI ASIC competition (Broadcom, MS Maia) bites MI series; macro AI capex pause Base $470 45% probability Targets reset higher (consensus catches up to ~$450-500); MI400 ramp + Q2 $11.2B guide proves through; FY27 EPS ~$14 Bull $580 30% probability Bernstein-like outcome — FY27 EPS toward $14+ on hyperscaler MI400/MI450 design wins; multiple expands toward 35x ConsensusSA Authors39 Authors in the Last 30 Days 9131520 Wall Street50 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 3551000 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $384.58 Median: — Range: $150.00 – $625.00 n=44 · spread 1.7% TipRanks STALE — pre-Q1 print n=n/a StockAnalysis.com $382.45 n=33 MarketBeat $388.84 n=44 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock +9.5% today to $447.25 — at 52wk high $447.16 exactly. Q1 print was a beat, FY guide raised. Mean target $384.58 reflects STALE consensus that hasn't caught up yet (Bernstein already at $525, KeyBanc $530, Baird $625). Probabilities anchored 25/45/30 reflecting strong post-print momentum + extended technicals. Fwd P/E 55.7 (2026) very high but 32 (2027 on Bernstein EPS) is reasonable for growth. Rec is Hold for swing horizon — already up 9.5% today, can't chase, but base case still positive over 6-12mo. Wait for pullback or trim if held with significant gains.
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| AVGO Portfolio 1 | Broadcom Inc. Information Technology |
$428.87 1:38 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $451.40 med — · n=33 |
36.11 · '27 27.78 vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↑ +20% |
Hold | Jun 4, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $340 25% probability AI ASIC orders disappoint / VMware integration friction / multiple compression on rich valuation Base $455 50% probability AI custom silicon revenue tracks toward Hock Tan's $100B+ FY27 target; VMware margin expansion continues Bull $565 25% probability New hyperscaler ASIC win announced; AI revenue mix accelerates beyond guide; software margins surprise ConsensusSA Authors16 Authors in the Last 30 Days 68110 Wall Street46 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 367300 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $451.40 Median: — Range: $300.00 – $582.00 n=33 · spread 7.2% TipRanks $467.89 n=30 StockAnalysis.com $451.00 n=28 MarketBeat $435.30 n=33 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksAt ~52wk high $437.68 (current $428.87, just -2% off). Mean target $451.40 = only +5.3% upside. Fwd P/E 36.1 (2026) high vs Semis avg 30. WS Strong Buy w/ 4.71 score (36/46 SB) is exceptional. Probabilities anchored 25/50/25 with earnings ~28 days out. Hold for swing horizon: WS Strong Buy supports the secular AI ASIC story but limited room to mean target. Buy zone is ~$385-$395, ~10% below current — wait for pullback or rotate exposure.
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| CLS | Celestica Inc. Information Technology |
$378.68 1:44 PM 05/08/26 |
$348.39 – $364.42 | $428.73 med — · n=22 |
37.43 · '27 32.84 vs Electronic Manufacturing Services 22.0x ↑ +70% |
Hold | Jul 27, 2026 (BMO) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $280 25% probability Hyperscaler capex cools meaningfully; HPS segment growth normalizes; multiple compresses (EMS historic 15-20x) Base $435 50% probability FY27 EPS $11.50 trajectory holds; CCS hyperscaler ramp continues; HPS share gains Bull $540 25% probability AI infra build-out extends through 2027/28; new hyperscaler customer additions; multiple expands ConsensusSA Authors16 Authors in the Last 30 Days 49300 Wall Street21 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 164100 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $428.73 Median: — Range: $240.00 – $510.00 n=22 · spread 10.4% TipRanks $451.14 n=25 StockAnalysis.com $407.63 n=16 MarketBeat $427.42 n=22 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock 13% off 52wk high $435. Mean target $429 = +13% upside. Fwd P/E 37 (2026) and 33 (2027) are well above EMS historic avg ~22 — yellow on P/E reflects AI-infra premium. WS Strong Buy 4.71 (16/21 SB). Probabilities anchored 25/50/25 (no near-term earnings risk, balanced). Hold for swing horizon: above attractive buy zone, target offers reasonable but not exceptional upside, and EMS multiple is cycle-dependent. Buy zone $348-364, 4-8% below current.
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| COHR | Coherent Corp. Information Technology |
$327.80 1:51 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $345.22 med — · n=22 |
58.59 · '27 43.59 vs Communications Equipment 25.0x ↑ +134% |
Hold | Aug 12, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $240 30% probability Q3 miss confirms slowing optical demand; loss of share to Lumentum/Innolight; multiple compresses Base $355 50% probability FY27 revenue growth 12-15%; EPS toward $7.50; multiple holds 40-45x on photonics-AI premium Bull $455 20% probability AI optical share gains accelerate; OpComm + materials margin expansion; multiple expands toward 55x ConsensusSA Authors14 Authors in the Last 30 Days 38300 Wall Street20 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 124400 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $345.22 Median: — Range: $85.00 – $455.00 n=22 · spread 23.6% TipRanks $377.56 n=25 StockAnalysis.com $296.21 n=14 MarketBeat $361.88 n=22 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock 10% off 52wk high $364.80. Q3 missed slightly (5/6, $1.41 vs $1.43). Source target spread very wide (23.6% — SA $296 vs TipRanks $378). Mean $345 = +5% upside, modest. Fwd P/E 58.6 (2026) and 43.6 (2027) very high vs Comm Equip avg 25 — yellow on P/E. Probabilities 30/50/20 reflecting recent miss + extended setup. Hold — was Trim, but Q3 wasn't a disaster and stock held. Wait for pullback to $300 zone.
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| CRDO Top 5 Bullish | Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Information Technology |
$187.62 1:37 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $199.44 med — · n=19 |
56.84 · '27 43.03 vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↑ +89% |
Hold | Jun 3, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $130 30% probability AEC TAM growth disappoints; hyperscaler order pause; multiple compression on rich valuation Base $200 50% probability Continued AEC ramp at hyperscalers; FY27 revenue growth 40%+; 800G/1.6T design wins Bull $260 20% probability Optical DSP market traction + LRO/co-packaged optics wins; multiple expands on durable AI infra growth ConsensusSA Authors12 Authors in the Last 30 Days 46101 Wall Street18 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 134100 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $199.44 Median: — Range: $85.00 – $260.00 n=19 · spread 15.7% TipRanks $211.00 n=13 StockAnalysis.com $179.62 n=13 MarketBeat $207.71 n=19 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock near 52wk high $213.80 (current $187.62, -12% off high). Mean target $199.44 = only +6.3% upside. Source spread 15.7% (StockAnalysis $179 vs TipRanks $211) — disagreement is signal: trim conviction. Fwd P/E 56.84 (2026) and 43 (2027) are well above Semis avg 30 — priced for perfection. Beta 3.43 = high vol. Probabilities anchored 30/50/20 reflecting earnings 25 days out (binary risk) + extended valuation. Hold for swing horizon: WS Strong Buy but target offers limited room; wait for pullback to $170 zone.
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| CRWV | CoreWeave, Inc. Information Technology |
$113.56 1:32 PM 05/08/26 |
$104.48 – $111.14 | $130.75 med — · n=33 |
N/M (negative EPS) · '27 N/M (negative EPS) vs Cloud / AI Infrastructure ~28.0x |
Hold | Aug 11, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $80 35% probability Continued guidance disappointment / Microsoft concentration risk / capex digestion stretches losses; multiple compression as AI infra trade rotates Base $130 40% probability Stabilization on Aug Q2 print; backlog conversion proceeds; pricing power holds with NVIDIA Blackwell deployment Bull $175 25% probability New hyperscaler/enterprise contracts announced; faster-than-expected utilization ramp; sentiment reset post-guidance reset ConsensusSA Authors17 Authors in the Last 30 Days 39500 Wall Street34 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 2021011 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $130.75 Median: — Range: $32.00 – $200.00 n=33 · spread 1.4% TipRanks $131.41 n=20 StockAnalysis.com $131.25 n=33 MarketBeat $129.59 n=32 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock down -11.9% today (5/8) on disappointing Q1 guidance reported 5/7. Probabilities anchored 35/40/25 reflecting elevated near-term binary risk just realized + still-negative 2027 EPS consensus (-$0.42). High short interest (14.6%) and B 1.24 amplify swings. Mean target $130.75 (~+15% upside) but spread is wide ($32-$200). Forward P/E is N/M — story stock priced on revenue growth & EBITDA, not earnings. Customer concentration (Microsoft) is the single biggest variable for both bear and bull paths.
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| GOOG Portfolio 1 | Alphabet Inc. (Class C) Communication Services |
$395.39 1:58 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $393.59 med — · n=38 |
27.78 · '27 24.77 vs Mega-cap Software/Internet 28.0x ↓ -1% |
Buy | Jul 28, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $320 20% probability DOJ remedy ruling forces meaningful divestiture; AI search disruption (ChatGPT, Perplexity) erodes core search rev share Base $435 50% probability Cloud growth re-accelerates with Gemini momentum; TPU external sales materialize; FY27 EPS toward $16; multiple holds 27x Bull $525 30% probability Search durability proven; Cloud margin expansion; TPU monetization scales meaningfully; multiple expands toward 32x ConsensusSA Authors23 Authors in the Last 30 Days 611600 Wall Street66 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 4514700 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $393.59 Median: — Range: $190.00 – $515.00 n=38 · spread 16.2% TipRanks $426.44 n=33 StockAnalysis.com $391.60 n=45 MarketBeat $362.73 n=38 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksAt ~52wk high $398 (current $395.39, just -1% off). Mean target $394 = essentially at target. Wide spread on targets reflects DOJ overhang vs Cloud/TPU optionality (Citizens just set $515 Street-high). Fwd P/E 28 (2026) and 25 (2027) at/below Mega-cap Software avg 28 — green / fair. Probabilities 20/50/30 reflecting strong consensus + AI infra reset (TPU as ASIC story). Buy rec: WS Strong Buy 4.57 (45/66 SB), recent target hikes signal momentum, valuation reasonable. Above buy zone but quality + secular thesis warrant Buy here.
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| KMT | Kennametal Inc. Industrials |
$37.38 1:54 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $37.34 med — · n=9 |
12.47 · '27 9.35 vs Industrial Machinery 18.0x ↓ -31% |
Hold | Aug 5, 2026 (BMO) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $28 30% probability Tungsten pricing reverses; industrial cycle softens; FY27 EPS reverts to historical $2.50-3.00 Base $40 50% probability FY26 raised guide ($3.75-4.00) realized; FY27 modest +5-10%; multiple stays ~10x Bull $50 20% probability Tungsten supply tightness persists 2027; industrial / aerospace tooling demand accelerates; multiple expands toward 12-13x ConsensusSA Authors1 Author in the Last 90 Days 00100 Wall Street8 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 00521 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $37.34 Median: — Range: $24.00 – $47.50 n=9 · spread 2.2% TipRanks n/a n=0 StockAnalysis.com $37.75 n=6 MarketBeat $36.93 n=9 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksDown -10.4% today after Q3 5/6 beat ($0.77 vs $0.67) — sell-the-news / profit-taking after strong run. WS Hold with 2 Sells and 1 Strong Sell — bearish. Mean target $37.34 essentially at current price = no upside per consensus. 14% off 52wk high $43.81. Probabilities anchored 30/50/20 reflecting consensus skew + cyclical exposure. Hold rec — was Hold last analysis, today's drop puts buy zone at $32-34 below current. Limited catalyst until Aug.
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| LITE | Lumentum Holdings Inc. Information Technology |
$876.56 1:49 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $961.27 med — · n=20 |
108.24 · '27 79.69 vs Communications Equipment 25.0x ↑ +333% |
Hold | Aug 11, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $640 30% probability Multiple compression as 800G/1.6T transition normalizes; loss of share to Coherent / Innolight; AI capex digestion Base $1000 45% probability AI optical demand persists; FY27 EPS ~$11 trajectory; multiple holds 80x as story stock Bull $1300 25% probability NVIDIA-driven optical interconnect adoption accelerates beyond expectations; CW lasers/Photonic Hubs scale; FY27 EPS toward $15-17 ConsensusSA Authors14 Authors in the Last 30 Days 47300 Wall Street24 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 154500 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $961.27 Median: — Range: $145.00 – $1400.00 n=20 · spread 22.9% TipRanks $1050.00 (post-print blended) n=15 StockAnalysis.com $830.07 n=15 MarketBeat $1003.75 n=20 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock 14% off 52wk high $1,021. Beat Q3 FY26 print 5/5 (EPS $2.37 vs $2.17 cons). Source target spread is wide (22.9%) — SA $830 vs TipRanks blended $1,050, MarketBeat $1,003. Fwd P/E 108 (2026) and 80 (2027) extreme vs Comm Equip avg 25. Probabilities 30/45/25 with elevated bear weight reflecting valuation tail. Hold for swing horizon: above buy zone, beat already in price, FY27 catalyst is in 3 months. Wait for pullback toward $810-820 zone.
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| LUNR | Intuitive Machines, Inc. Industrials |
$28.92 1:52 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $23.18 med — · n=13 |
N/M (negative EPS) · '27 125.74 vs Aerospace & Defense ~22.0x |
Trim | May 19, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $15 35% probability Q1 earnings (5/19) miss; SpaceX IPO sentiment fades; lunar lander mission slip / failure; dilution risk Base $24 40% probability Continued NASA CLPS contract execution; backlog grows; multiple stays speculative on space-economy theme Bull $38 25% probability Successful lunar lander Q3/Q4 mission; meaningful new commercial contracts; SpaceX IPO halo effect persists ConsensusSA Authors7 Authors in the Last 90 Days 05200 Wall Street9 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 70110 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $23.18 Median: — Range: $9.50 – $35.00 n=13 · spread 17.6% TipRanks $25.63 n=9 StockAnalysis.com $22.35 n=10 MarketBeat $21.55 n=13 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksUp 20% today, near 52wk high $31.15. Mean target $23.18 = -20% vs current — targets all below current price = overshoot signal. SI 19.6% — short squeeze fuel. Beta 2.87 huge vol. Probabilities anchored 35/40/25 reflecting binary catalyst (earnings 11 days out, options 24% IV) + extended technicals + WS targets all below. Trim rec: WS Strong Buy concentration but valuation/extension override; not a place to add. Wait for pullback to $20 zone for re-entry, OR cut after earnings if momentum fades.
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| META Portfolio 1 | Meta Platforms, Inc. Communication Services |
$610.45 1:59 PM 05/08/26 |
$561.61 – $598.24 | $844.23 med — · n=47 |
19.26 · '27 16.70 vs Mega-cap Software/Internet 28.0x ↓ -31% |
Strong Buy | Jul 30, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $520 20% probability AI capex narrative deterioration / Reality Labs losses widen / regulatory scrutiny / ad slowdown Base $780 50% probability Ad revenue growth holds 15-18%; AI ROI proves through (Reels, Llama monetization); FY27 EPS $36+; multiple recovers from depressed level Bull $1000 30% probability Llama enterprise traction; Reality Labs loss narrows; AI capex pays off via ad targeting + content monetization ConsensusSA Authors27 Authors in the Last 30 Days 714510 Wall Street63 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 488700 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $844.23 Median: — Range: $700.00 – $1015.00 n=47 · spread 2.3% TipRanks $856.00 (median) n=38 StockAnalysis.com $836.39 n=36 MarketBeat $840.31 n=47 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock 23% off 52wk high $796.25. Within attractive buy zone $562-598 (current $610 just above). Mean target $844 = +38% upside, exceptional. Fwd P/E 19 (2026) and 17 (2027) WELL below Mega-cap Software avg 28 — green / cheap. WS Strong Buy 4.65 (48/63 SB). Probabilities 20/50/30 reflecting valuation + analyst conviction + room before next earnings. Strong Buy rec: rare combination of cheap valuation, strong consensus, and meaningful drawdown for re-entry. Bear floor only -15% from here.
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| MP | MP Materials Corp. Materials |
$68.30 1:48 PM 05/08/26 |
$62.84 – $66.70 | $78.47 med — · n=17 |
231.46 · '27 60.98 vs Metals & Mining 18.0x ↑ +1186% |
Buy | Aug 6, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $48 25% probability China rare-earth dumping/price war; magnet plant ramp delays; operating losses persist Base $82 50% probability Heavy rare-earth separation circuit comes online Q2; magnet revenue ramps; FY27 EPS toward $1.10 Bull $110 25% probability Strategic US national-security premium pricing; DoD offtake announcements; LYSDY/USAR consolidation positions MP as US leader ConsensusSA Authors8 Authors in the Last 90 Days 23300 Wall Street15 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 123000 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $78.47 Median: — Range: $33.00 – $112.00 n=17 · spread 5.4% TipRanks $79.00 n=19 StockAnalysis.com $76.08 n=12 MarketBeat $80.33 n=17 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksWithin attractive buy zone $63-67 (current $68). Mean target $78 = +15% upside, modest. WS Strong Buy 4.80 (12/15 SB) is exceptional. 32% off 52wk high $100 = pullback already taken. Fwd P/E 231 (2026 transitional) drops to 61 (2027) — still rich vs Mining avg 18, but story stock + operating leverage. Beta only 0.75 — surprisingly low. Probabilities 25/50/25 balanced. Buy rec: high WS conviction + within zone + secular thesis (US rare-earth independence) + recent guidance reset removed near-term overhang. Risk = commissioning execution.
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| MSFT Portfolio 1, SA top stocks | Microsoft Corporation Information Technology |
$416.35 1:39 PM 05/08/26 |
$383.04 – $408.02 | $564.04 med — · n=46 |
24.97 · '27 22.37 vs Mega-cap Software 28.0x ↓ -11% |
Strong Buy | Jul 29, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $370 20% probability Azure deceleration accelerates / Copilot monetization stalls / AI capex digestion concerns persist Base $525 50% probability Azure re-accelerates with Copilot inflection; $600B+ commercial backlog converts; FY27 EPS at consensus $18.6 Bull $650 30% probability Copilot inflects into broad enterprise adoption; OpenAI partnership profit share materializes; multiple expands toward 30x ConsensusSA Authors41 Authors in the Last 30 Days 1219730 Wall Street55 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 4111300 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $564.04 Median: — Range: $400.00 – $870.00 n=46 · spread 1.7% TipRanks $559.98 n=35 StockAnalysis.com $569.46 n=37 MarketBeat $562.69 n=46 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock is 25% below 52wk high ($555.45). Buy zone $383-408 — current price $416 is slightly above upper bound. Mean target $564 = +35.5% upside is the strongest in the IT mega-caps. Fwd P/E 25 is below Mega-cap Software avg 28 = green / cheap. WS Strong Buy 4.69 (41/55 SB). Probabilities anchored 20/50/30 with no near-term earnings (10+ weeks out). Strong Buy rec: combination of cheap valuation, secular tailwind, and analyst conviction with reasonable bear price floor only -11% from here.
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| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. Information Technology |
$737.48 1:46 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $514.34 med — · n=39 |
11.13 · '27 8.19 vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↓ -63% |
Hold | Jun 25, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $520 30% probability Memory cycle peaks earlier than HBM TAM trajectory implies; DRAM oversupply Q1 calendar 2027; multiple compresses to historic 6-8x Base $760 45% probability HBM4 ramp on schedule; FY27 EPS ~$90 holds; multiple stays at low double-digits as 'cycle is different this time' narrative persists Bull $950 25% probability HBM TAM exceeds $100B by 2027 (vs 2028 prior); Erste-like FY27 EPS ~$100; multiple expands to mid-teens ConsensusSA Authors23 Authors in the Last 30 Days 810221 Wall Street44 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 309410 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $514.34 Median: — Range: $150.00 – $1000.00 n=39 · spread 20.2% TipRanks $581.89 n=25 StockAnalysis.com $482.90 n=31 MarketBeat $478.24 n=39 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock +14.05% today, near 52wk high $741.62. Up 25% in 4 days — extended. Mean target $514 = STALE (Mizuho already at $740). Fwd P/E 11 (2026) and 8 (2027) extremely cheap on cycle peak earnings — but that's the catch: cyclicals always look cheap at peaks. Probabilities 30/45/25 with elevated bear weight reflecting cycle risk. Hold for swing horizon: WS Strong Buy supports thesis but technicals extended; Trim if held with significant gains; not buying here. Buy zone is well below.
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| NBIS | Nebius Group N.V. Information Technology |
$181.02 2:01 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $164.03 med — · n=15 |
N/M (negative EPS) · '27 N/M (negative EPS) vs Cloud / AI Infrastructure ~28.0x |
Trim | May 13, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $120 35% probability Q1 (5/13) miss/light guide; backlog conversion concerns; capex burn larger than expected; AI infra trade rotation Base $185 40% probability Q1 confirms $46B+ backlog conversion trajectory; 2026 revenue toward $1.5-2B run rate; multiple stays speculative on growth Bull $240 25% probability Major hyperscaler partnership expansion; backlog $60B+; multiple expands as 2027 $10B revenue path validated ConsensusSA Authors18 Authors in the Last 30 Days 76311 Wall Street16 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 92401 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $164.03 Median: — Range: $84.00 – $215.00 n=15 · spread 11.9% TipRanks $174.33 n=16 StockAnalysis.com $163.00 n=10 MarketBeat $154.75 n=15 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock 9% off 52wk high. Earnings 5 days out — major binary catalyst. Mean target $164 = -9% downside vs current — targets all below current price = overshoot signal. Probabilities anchored 35/40/25 reflecting elevated near-term binary risk (earnings 5 days out + targets reset risk). Negative EPS through 2027 — pure revenue-growth/backlog story. SI 19.8% — short squeeze fuel either direction. Trim rec for swing horizon: don't hold full size into binary; if held, reduce ahead of 5/13 OR be prepared for ±20% gap. Buy zone is well below.
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| NVDA Portfolio 1 | NVIDIA Corporation Information Technology |
$215.64 1:34 PM 05/08/26 |
$198.39 – $211.33 | $273.45 med — · n=54 |
25.36 · '27 22.35 vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↓ -15% |
Strong Buy | May 20, 2026 (AMC) — Confirmed | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $170 20% probability Macro AI capex pause / China export tightening / disappointing Blackwell ramp commentary Base $270 50% probability May-20 print confirms $78B revenue guide; data-center backlog visibility through CY27 holds Bull $340 30% probability Material guide-up on Blackwell + Rubin pipeline; sovereign AI deals keep stacking; multiple expands toward 28-30x ConsensusSA Authors21 Authors in the Last 30 Days 77421 Wall Street60 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 489201 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $273.45 Median: — Range: $195.00 – $400.00 n=54 · spread 1.7% TipRanks $274.38 n=42 StockAnalysis.com $270.73 n=37 MarketBeat $275.25 n=54 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksAt all-time-high range (52wk high $217.79). Mean target $273.45 = +26.8% upside. WS Strong Buy with score 4.71 (48 of 60 = SB) is exceptionally strong. Fwd P/E 25 vs Semis avg ~30 = still cheap-ish for the growth. Probabilities anchored 20/50/30 reflecting strong setup + earnings within 14 days (binary risk, but base case is broadly positive). Beta 2.07 — high vol on macro. Buy-zone is below current; Strong Buy reflects medium-term path even though short-term entry is extended.
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| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. Information Technology |
$135.58 1:45 PM 05/08/26 |
$124.73 – $132.87 | $192.41 med — · n=31 |
93.79 · '27 71.74 vs Application Software 35.0x ↑ +168% |
Buy | Aug 4, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $95 30% probability Multiple compression continues from peak; commercial growth disappoints; Govt budget pressure Base $165 45% probability AIP commercial momentum holds; FY27 EPS converges to consensus $1.89; multiple stabilizes ~80x Bull $230 25% probability AIP becomes durable enterprise standard; commercial > 50% revenue; multiple holds 100x+ on growth ConsensusSA Authors29 Authors in the Last 30 Days 612740 Wall Street31 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 1811011 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $192.41 Median: — Range: $90.00 – $255.00 n=31 · spread 3.3% TipRanks $188.39 n=21 StockAnalysis.com $194.17 n=24 MarketBeat $194.68 n=31 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock down 35% from 52wk high $207.52. Within attractive buy zone $125-133 (current $135.58 just above). Mean target $192 = +42% upside. Probabilities anchored 30/45/25 reflecting beaten-down valuation reset + post-Q1 read. Fwd P/E 94 (2026) and 72 (2027) very high vs Software avg 35 — yellow on P/E. Buy rec: high-conviction WS Strong Buy concentration (18/31 SB) + materially below target + within zone, but extreme valuation + binary contract risk caps to Buy not Strong Buy. Aug earnings is next big catalyst.
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| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. Information Technology |
$151.16 1:41 PM 05/08/26 |
$139.07 – $148.14 | $238.66 med — · n=42 |
85.61 · '27 64.05 vs Application Software 35.0x ↑ +145% |
Buy | May 27, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $110 30% probability Continued de-rating / consumption miss / AI workload cannibalization by hyperscaler-native warehouses Base $210 45% probability May 27 print stabilizes consumption growth; Cortex AI ARR builds; multiple recovers from current lows Bull $290 25% probability Cortex AI proves out as differentiator; Iceberg/Apache Polaris adoption accelerates; consumption re-accelerates ConsensusSA Authors12 Authors in the Last 30 Days 17310 Wall Street50 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 3410600 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $238.66 Median: — Range: $125.00 – $325.00 n=42 · spread 9.8% TipRanks $225.17 n=33 StockAnalysis.com $248.62 n=42 MarketBeat $242.19 n=41 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock down 46% from 52wk high $280, near zone low. Mean target $238 = +58% upside if WS thesis plays out. Probabilities anchored 30/45/25 reflecting beaten-down setup + earnings 19 days out (binary catalyst). Fwd P/E 85.6 (2026) and 64 (2027) very high vs Application Software avg 35 — yellow on P/E. Buy rec: WS Strong Buy with elevated target gap suggests asymmetric setup, but execution risk is real (the 35% YTD decline came from somewhere). Within buy zone ($139-148) — near current price. Risk-reward favorable but not Strong Buy due to valuation + binary earnings risk.
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| TEAM | Atlassian Corporation Information Technology |
$88.33 1:56 PM 05/08/26 |
$81.26 – $86.56 | $147.17 med — · n=28 |
16.79 · '27 13.42 vs Application Software 35.0x ↓ -52% |
Buy | Jul 30, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $70 30% probability Cloud migration slows; Jira/Confluence growth disappoints; AI competition (Linear, Notion AI) bites Base $130 45% probability Cloud growth re-accelerates 25%+; Rovo AI ARR builds; multiple expands from depressed level Bull $185 25% probability Multiple recovers toward 30x P/E (still below Software avg); Rovo agentic AI captures ARPU; net retention >120% ConsensusSA Authors7 Authors in the Last 90 Days 23200 Wall Street33 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 215700 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $147.17 Median: — Range: $95.00 – $304.00 n=28 · spread 4.7% TipRanks $144.67 n=23 StockAnalysis.com $151.59 n=22 MarketBeat $145.26 n=28 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock down 62% from 52wk high $232.36 — massive de-rating. Within attractive buy zone $81-87 (current $88.33 just above). Mean target $147 = +67% upside. Fwd P/E 16.8 (2026) and 13.4 (2027) BELOW Software avg 35 — green / cheap on traditional metric. Probabilities 30/45/25 reflecting depressed valuation (asymmetry favorable) but real growth deceleration concern. Buy rec: deep discount + WS Buy + within zone. Risk = thesis broken (AI competition, cloud growth permanent step-down). Target offers asymmetric upside.
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| TSM Portfolio 1 | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited Information Technology |
$407.67 1:36 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $428.65 med — · n=21 |
26.81 · '27 22.65 vs Semiconductors 30.0x ↓ -11% |
Hold | Jul 16, 2026 (BMO) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $330 25% probability Geopolitical (Taiwan/China) escalation; AI capex slowdown; ASML/customer order cuts Base $430 50% probability Steady AI/HPC mix shift; 2nm ramp on schedule; pricing power preserved Bull $510 25% probability AI revenue acceleration + 2nm pricing premium; CoWoS capacity expansions sold out through 2027 ConsensusSA Authors18 Authors in the Last 30 Days 212400 Wall Street19 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 125200 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $428.65 Median: — Range: $330.00 – $500.00 n=21 · spread 14.3% TipRanks $465.00 n=n/a StockAnalysis.com $416.67 n=6 MarketBeat $404.29 n=15 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock is at ~52wk high ($420). Mean target $428.65 = only +5% upside — extended. Source spread is wide: TipRanks $465 vs MarketBeat $404 = 15% disagreement. Buy zone resolves to 'Above zone — wait for pullback'. Fwd P/E 26.81 vs Semis avg 30 still slight discount, but no immediate catalyst before Jul earnings. Rec is Hold for swing horizon: Strong Buy WS but limited near-term upside vs target. Probabilities 25/50/25 (balanced).
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| TTMI | TTM Technologies, Inc. Information Technology |
$151.11 1:55 PM 05/08/26 |
Above zone — wait for pullback | $149.50 med — · n=6 |
43.22 · '27 27.47 vs Electronic Manufacturing Services 22.0x ↑ +96% |
Hold | Aug 5, 2026 (AMC) — Estimated | |||||||||||
Scenarios (EOY 2026)Bear $110 30% probability AI/Defense backlog conversion slows; multiple compresses; FY27 EPS reverts toward $4.50 Base $165 50% probability Defense (~50% mix) + AI PCB growth holds; FY27 EPS toward $5.50; multiple sustains 25-28x Bull $200 20% probability Hyperscaler PCB allocation expands; defense modernization budgets accelerate; FY27 EPS toward $6.14 ConsensusSA Authors7 Authors in the Last 90 Days 11410 Wall Street4 Analysts in the Last 90 Days 31000 Analyst Targets (non-SA)Mean: $149.50 Median: — Range: $108.00 – $180.00 n=6 · spread 0.0% TipRanks $118.50 (older) n=4 StockAnalysis.com $149.50 n=4 MarketBeat $149.50 n=6 Yahoo N/A (page error) n=0 Snapshot
Key Catalysts (next 3-12 mo)
Notes / RisksStock 16% off 52wk high $180. SA WS Strong Buy (4 analysts only — small sample). SA Authors Hold 3.28 (more cautious). Mean target $149.50 essentially at current — no upside. Fwd P/E 43 (2026) and 27 (2027) above EMS avg 22 — yellow on P/E. Probabilities 30/50/20 reflecting limited upside per consensus + cyclical exposure. Hold for swing horizon. Buy zone $127-139, ~10% below current. Wait for pullback OR new analyst catalyst.
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